Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.131327 0.152424 0.175855 0.203817 0.236291 0.272836 0.317114
2025-04-20 0.101268 0.130237 0.165862 0.212938 0.273596 0.349247 0.450978
2025-04-27 0.084921 0.117217 0.159824 0.220240 0.303899 0.415956 0.577994
2025-05-04 0.073572 0.107564 0.155049 0.226369 0.331108 0.479835 0.708099
2025-05-11 0.063915 0.098199 0.148511 0.227932 0.350658 0.533967 0.830236
2025-05-18 0.055504 0.089128 0.140687 0.225770 0.363360 0.578377 0.942368
2025-05-25 0.047744 0.079801 0.130958 0.218852 0.366991 0.608224 1.034213
2025-06-01 0.043781 0.075963 0.129267 0.224365 0.390965 0.672917 1.190916
2025-06-08 0.039593 0.071126 0.125193 0.225100 0.406549 0.724872 1.331726
2025-06-15 0.036526 0.067803 0.123212 0.229054 0.427947 0.788947 1.501712
2025-06-22 0.032601 0.062406 0.116851 0.224144 0.432329 0.822479 1.618647
2025-06-29 0.029462 0.058077 0.111895 0.221155 0.439746 0.862121 1.751711
2025-07-06 0.026983 0.054780 0.108620 0.221246 0.453628 0.916707 1.923614
2025-07-13 0.025827 0.053980 0.110116 0.231072 0.488370 1.016986 2.203279
2025-07-20 0.024570 0.052804 0.110688 0.239006 0.520072 1.114696 2.490276
2025-07-27 0.023301 0.051437 0.110684 0.245663 0.549783 1.211618 2.788234
2025-08-03 0.021718 0.049192 0.108544 0.247361 0.568713 1.287292 3.048027
2025-08-10 0.019973 0.046369 0.104817 0.245013 0.578126 1.342735 3.267871
2025-08-17 0.018029 0.042859 0.099153 0.237498 0.574550 1.367892 3.418299
2025-08-24 0.017217 0.041904 0.099210 0.243487 0.603887 1.473735 3.781393
2025-08-31 0.016132 0.040164 0.097230 0.244285 0.620584 1.551044 4.082559
2025-09-07 0.015352 0.039081 0.096691 0.248580 0.646539 1.654198 4.464517
2025-09-14 0.014091 0.036641 0.092561 0.243246 0.647070 1.693065 4.680311